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Type of Document Thesis Author Hodges, Robert Edward Author's Email Address reh3682@fsu.edu URN etd-07092009-162841 Title Evidence for a solar influence on U.S.-affecting hurricanes Degree Master of Science Department Geography, Department of Advisory Committee
Advisor Name Title James B. Elsner Committee Chair J. Anthony Stallins Committee Member Lisa Jordan Committee Member Thomas H. Jagger Committee Member Keywords
- Bayesian Statistics
- Hurricanes
- Sunspots
Date of Defense 2009-07-02 Availability unrestricted Abstract This study examines the robustness of the proposed modern solar activity / hurricane frequency relationship in light of recently compiled Atlantic hurricane records made available for the period 1700-1850. Constructing a thermodynamic efficiency for hurricanes utilizing mean monthly sunspot numbers (SSN), a Bayesian model that incorporates HURDAT (1851-2008) and Chenoweth archive (1700-1850) datasets is employed to maximize the information about the sun-hurricane relationship through the centuries. The information contained within the Chenoweth archive adds support to the hypothesis that solar variation influences hurricane activity. Results have impacts for U.S. seasonal hurricane science, as well as life and property for coastal and near-coastal populations.Files
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