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Title page for ETD etd-07092009-162841


Type of Document Thesis
Author Hodges, Robert Edward
Author's Email Address reh3682@fsu.edu
URN etd-07092009-162841
Title Evidence for a solar influence on U.S.-affecting hurricanes
Degree Master of Science
Department Geography, Department of
Advisory Committee
Advisor Name Title
James B. Elsner Committee Chair
J. Anthony Stallins Committee Member
Lisa Jordan Committee Member
Thomas H. Jagger Committee Member
Keywords
  • Bayesian Statistics
  • Hurricanes
  • Sunspots
Date of Defense 2009-07-02
Availability unrestricted
Abstract
This study examines the robustness of the proposed modern solar activity / hurricane frequency relationship in light of recently compiled Atlantic hurricane records made available for the period 1700-1850. Constructing a thermodynamic efficiency for hurricanes utilizing mean monthly sunspot numbers (SSN), a Bayesian model that incorporates HURDAT (1851-2008) and Chenoweth archive (1700-1850) datasets is employed to maximize the information about the sun-hurricane relationship through the centuries. The information contained within the Chenoweth archive adds support to the hypothesis that solar variation influences hurricane activity. Results have impacts for U.S. seasonal hurricane science, as well as life and property for coastal and near-coastal populations.
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