FSU ETD Logo

Title page for ETD etd-08212008-192409


Type of Document Thesis
Author Ford, Kelly McBeth
Author's Email Address kmcbeth@coaps.fsu.edu
URN etd-08212008-192409
Title Uncertainty of Scatterometer-Derived Vorticity
Degree Master of Science
Department Meteorology, Department of
Advisory Committee
Advisor Name Title
Mark Bourassa Committee Chair
Paul Reasor Committee Member
Philip Cunningham Committee Member
Keywords
  • Vorticity
  • Scatterometer
  • Cyclone Genesis
  • Rrror Analysis
  • Tropical Storm
Date of Defense 2008-08-14
Availability unrestricted
Abstract
A more versatile and robust technique is developed for determining area averaged surface vorticity based on vector winds from the SeaWinds scatterometer on the QuikSCAT satellite. This improved technique is discussed in detail and compared to two previous studies by Sharp et al. (2002) and Gierach et al. (2007) that focused on early development of tropical systems. The error characteristics of the technique are examined in detail. Specifically, three independent sources of error are explored: random observational error, truncation error and representation error. Observational errors are due to random errors in the wind observations, and determined as a worst-case estimate as a function of averaging spatial scale. The observational uncertainty in vorticity averaged for a roughly circular shape with a 100 km diameter, expressed as one standard deviation, is approximately 0.5 x 10 -5 s-1 for the methodology described herein. Truncation error is associated with the assumption of linear changes between wind vectors. For accurate results, it must be estimated on a case-by-case basis. An attempt is made to determine a lower bound of truncation errors through the use of composites of tropical disturbances. This lower bound is calculated as 10-7 s-1 for the composites, which is relatively small compared to the tropical disturbance detection threshold set at 5 x 10-5 s-1, used in an earlier study. However, in more realistic conditions, uncertainty related to truncation errors is much larger than observational uncertainty. The third type of error discussed is due to the size of the area being averaged. If the wind vectors associated with a vorticity maximum are inside the perimeter of this area (away from the edges), it will be missed. This type of error is analogous to over-smoothing. Tropical and sub-tropical low pressure systems from three months of QuikSCAT observations are used to examine this error. This error results in a bias of approximately 1.5 x 10-5 s-1 for area averaged vorticity calculated on a 100 km scale compared to vorticity calculated on a 25 km scale. The discussion of these errors will benefit future projects of this nature as well as future satellite missions.
Files
  Filename       Size       Approximate Download Time (Hours:Minutes:Seconds) 
 
 28.8 Modem   56K Modem   ISDN (64 Kb)   ISDN (128 Kb)   Higher-speed Access 
  FordKThesis.pdf 258.17 Kb 00:01:11 00:00:36 00:00:32 00:00:16 00:00:01

Browse All Available ETDs by ( Author | Department )

If you have more questions or technical problems, please Contact the FSU Digital Library Center.